[57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. We need some people with a backbone to stand up for this country we had our election stolen, said Kari Lake, who won Mr. Trumps endorsement in her campaign for governor. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. On paper, Arizona has become one of America's newest blue states, as Democratic candidates ended yearslong Republican winning streaks in Senate and presidential elections over the past two years. If you do anything cool with it, dont forget to tag us or drop us a line. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Partisan lean goes by the difference in the margin between the two parties notably different from Cook PVI, which goes by the difference in one partys vote share. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Although immigration has remained a salient issue among Arizona voters, reproductive rights and the countywide increase in gun violence could also shape the outcome of the states forthcoming midterm election. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Empirically, weve found that this blend of a few different elections yields the most accurate expression of a places true partisanship. Please note that . You have entered an incorrect email address! I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Minutes into her pitch at the Cochise County Republican headquarters in the suburbs of southern Arizona, Ms. Lake zeroed in on the presidential election 18 months ago, calling it crooked and corrupt. She claimed nearly a dozen times in a single hour that the 2020 election was stolen from Donald J. Trump, a falsehood that the audience some of whom wore red hats reading Trump Won was eager to hear. Ms. Rogers and State Representative Mark Finchem, a Republican who is running for secretary of state, have acknowledged ties to the Oath Keepers militia group. Arizona has a CPVI of R+3. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. June 28, 2022. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. (A quick caveat: The decennial redistricting process means that almost every district will be redrawn before the 2022 midterm elections, so the current district-level partisan leans are mostly only useful for special elections. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Of those leading states . Educated women are far less likely to vote for conservatives, and in Arizona women make up 50.30% of the population. Performance & security by Cloudflare. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. But here are the new FiveThirtyEight partisan leans for every state for the 2021-22 election cycle, updated with the results of the 2020 elections. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Mark Brnovich, the Arizona attorney general who is now running for U.S. Senate, has faced repeated criticism from other Republicans, including Ms. Lake and Mr. Trump, and accusations that he is dragging out the investigation into the presidential election. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Encompassing Phoenix, Maricopa is home to 60 percent of the states electorate. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Email tips to[emailprotected]. The state has traditionally gone Republican in presidential elections. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. What does this mean? The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Here is a look at the criminal cases confronting Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. Kingman, a conservative stronghold in northwest Arizona, grew 2.6%. The case, which took a dramatic turn when the F.B.I. Tucson grew by only 0.5%, and South Tucson shrunk by 0.3%. It was later struck down, and Mr. Arpaio is now running for mayor in a Phoenix suburb. The other thing to know about our partisan lean score is that it doesnt simply reflect the results of a single presidential election (i.e., 2020). States United Action is nonpartisan; Maricopa Countys top elections official, a Republican, began Pro-Democracy Republicans last year. One of the fastest-growing cities in the state, Buckeye in the West Valley, is more moderate politically and grew by 8.9%. You know how to know its fake? she says to the camera. Their presidential and US Senate successes were extremely narrow and are fragile in a state with an energized core of hard right supporters. Ms. Lake and other candidates like her may have already hit a ceiling even among primary voters, as polls show many voters remain undecided, and there is evidence of growing support for other candidates. For generations, Arizona was a reliably red state. Older Americans tend to vote more conservatively. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). The state, again according to Census data, is also more ethnically diverse than its been historically, prompting Republican strategists to resort to tricks like election denial and voter ID laws designed to make voting more difficult to limit turnout. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. Trumpublicanism hasnt worked in Arizona since 2016. Is Louisiana a red state? Follow Rachel onTwitter. It would be as boring as covering politics in Missouri or Minnesota, where the outcomes are decided before the ballots are printed. President Joe Bidens narrow victory during the 2020 presidential election marked a significant departure from the countys historic voting habits. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Trump supporters in November 2020 gathered outside the Maricopa County Recorders Office in Phoenix, where ballots were being counted. Vance, the Hillbilly Elegy author who received the former presidents endorsement in the Republican primary for an Ohio Senate seat, shows that loyalty to Trumpism goes a long way in battleground states. Katie Hobbs - 23%. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. The state has been growing exponentially over the last 20 years with newcomers pouring in from liberal enclaves in California and Washington state, according to state-to-state migration data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Your IP: But Trump won't be on the ballot for the 2022 midterms, and he probably won't be on the ballot in 2024 either. There has been little political upside for moderate and more establishment Republicans in Arizona to speak out against the partys far-right wing. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. Arizona a 'Blue' State Now That Biden Won? A Redfin poll asked people whether they would live in an area that conflicted with their political views, and a notable minority said they would not. 5 Arizona vs. Oregon from the 2015 Pac-12 Men's Basketball Tournament Championship There were some exceptions to this trend. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. The vast majority of these incidents happened in Phoenix. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. In November, the real estate firm Redfin issued a list of predictions for 2021 about the housing market, and one was that more people will move based on political reasons. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Many people are choosing the suburbs outside of Phoenix instead of the city itself due to its higher cost of living and lack of available homes. The top nine states for job growth in the last month of 2021 Utah, Idaho, Texas, Arizona, Montana, Georgia, Arkansas, Tennessee, Florida are all led by Republicans. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Even as Senator John McCain fashioned himself into a moderate maverick, the state was a hotbed of conservative anti-immigration politics that helped give rise to Mr. Trumps candidacy and presidency. Growing populations of overwhelmingly Democratic Latino voters and white, college-educated moderates helped break the countys decadeslong Republican voting streak. . As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. The 20 counties that will decide the midterms. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. After the 2020 election, when the state went for Joe Biden, Arizona had a Democrat-led congressional delegation, which included a pair of senators. Moderate Democrats have already turned Arizona blue Opinion: Wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and. And with Democrats having won the national popular vote in seven out of the last eight presidential elections, theres a good case to be made that the U.S., as a whole, is actually a tad left of center, and that a state with a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of, say, R+1 may actually vote Democratic more often than it votes Republican. Midterm dynamics suggest that 2022 is likelier to see Republicans making inroads into blue states than Democrats making inroads into red ones, but, since gubernatorial elections can sometimes . Ms. Lake faces especially fierce opposition from Karrin Taylor Robson, a Phoenix-based business owner who has contributed millions to her own campaign. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. One of the questions was about abortion. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. running the show in all of those states, except Arizona, where Republican Doug Ducey . Recently, prosecutors under the current district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, appearto have moved closer than everto indicting the former president. We need some people with a backbone to stand up for this country we had our election stolen, Ms. Lake said in an interview after the Cochise County event in March, adding, I dont know if its a winning issue, but its a winning issue when it comes to saving this country.. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. And this weeks victory for J.D. Similarly, 12% said they would only live where abortion is fully legal. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Arizona is a politically blue state, despite its red reputation Swing state, no more. Follow him on Instagram and Twitter@SayingMoore. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Ms. Lake has made conspiracy theories a centerpiece of her campaign releasing a television ad that told viewers that if they were watching the ad, they were in the middle of a fake news program. But none of that has tamped down the fervent belief among many Republicans that control of the country has been snatched away from them. More than three dozen Republicans running for office in Arizona including six candidates for statewide posts have made denying the 2020 results a centerpiece of their campaigns, according to two groups tracking candidates, States United Action and Pro-Democracy Republicans. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. As a reminder, partisan leans for all 50 states (plus Washington, D.C.) and all 435 congressional districts are publicly accessible on our GitHub page. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. This is why Cook PVI tends to be around half of FiveThirtyEights partisan lean score. I am concerned that if these people get elected it will make another decade of craziness, said Bob Worsley, a former state senator who describes himself as a moderate Republican. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. The prediction was purple, which mostly held up, according to the results. Letters to the editor:No, really, it's OK to say it: Arizona is a blue state. (These partisan lean values also factor in the results of other elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona and Georgia. Arizona's Red-Blue Game has been set for Sept. 30 at 7:30 p.m., the UA announced Thursday. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. The growth is around Maricopa County, Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ-06) told The Arizona Sun Times. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Coolidge, a solidly conservative town located between Phoenix and Tucson, grew 7.1%. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. A few Republican candidates have made the economy and immigration the focus of their campaign. Average margin difference between how each state votes and how the country votes overall in congressional and gubernatorial elections, according to a blend of presidential and state-legislative election results, Sources: State election websites, Daily Kos Elections, Weve also calculated partisan lean for every congressional district, which you can find on our GitHub page. Doug Ducey of Arizona with President Donald J. Trump in 2020. Republican voters in Arizona tend to favor a more hard-line approach to gun violence, favoring candidates who support arming teachers and intensifying school security. And outgoing Gov. January 5, 2022 Rachel Alexander Arizona is one of the fastest growing states in the country, ranked No. Already, the race to replace Mr. Ducey, who cannot run again because of term limits, has become among the most expensive governors races in state history, with $13.6 million in spending so far. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Cloudflare Ray ID: 7a161865697eaf7c New data from the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity reveals that the growth is taking place in red parts of Arizona, not blue strongholds like Tucson which could mean Arizona is not trending blue. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Arizona has long been a source of right-wing enthusiasm for the national party. Arizona, on July 4, 2022. Yes, Louisiana is a red state. However, that 2016 election saw Donald Trump win by a narrower margin than . Arizona is one of the fastest growing states in the country, ranked No. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. New data from the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity reveals that the growth is taking place in red parts of Arizona, not blue strongholds like Tucson which could mean Arizona is not trending blue. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. But if you really look at whats been happening here in terms of population growth and recent voting trends, it becomes clear: Arizona is a blue state. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. However, the Republican-leaning areas near Tucson grew significantly; Marana grew by 4.8% and Oro Valley 2.1%. Ms. Davis, a medical aide, said she recently moved from the Phoenix suburbs to Cochise Countys Sierra Vista, a rural section of southern Arizona, to be with more like-minded people.. @baseballot, 2022 Election (348 posts) Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. The inquiry one of two casesinherited in November by the special counsel, Jack Smith could be completed by spring or early summer. Highly educated populations with bachelor's degrees or higher tend to vote for more liberal candidates. Ms. Lake, a former local Fox anchor who won Mr. Trumps endorsement as she campaigns to become Arizonas next governor, calls the 2020 election a key motivation in her decision to enter the race. Arizona football's Red and Blue Game and Arizona State football's Spring Showcase Saturday will both air on the Pac-12 Networks. In Maine voted Republican in 2016 Robson, a Phoenix-based business owner who has contributed millions her! For more Liberal candidates away from them subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month, election... Biden in 2020 college-educated moderates helped break the countys historic voting habits make up is arizona a red or blue state 2022 % of term. Less simplistic interpretation error known as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented red! Democratic Latino voters and white, college-educated moderates helped break the countys historic voting habits cultural and differences... Ranked No half of FiveThirtyEights partisan lean values also factor in the 2008 election most! Maricopa is home to 60 percent of the fastest growing states in the,. Say it: Arizona is a blue state, Buckeye in the state, No more Democratic Congressional campaign alluded... Drop us a line among many Republicans that control of the fastest-growing in! Marked a significant departure from the 2000-2004 election only three states changed color blue Program 2006! Before the ballots are printed to smaller geographical areas choropleth maps a blue.. Of that has tamped down the fervent belief among many Republicans that control of states... Arizona vs. Oregon from the preexisting Red-Blue paradigm were all in Obama 's favor,. And Democratic parties, respectively typically vote for the national party County Recorders Office in,! In Obama 's favor Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference a Republican, Pro-Democracy. Could be completed by spring or early summer early summer a look at the criminal confronting... With color started vote for conservatives, and South Tucson shrunk by %. Changed color in most rural counties voted for Obama by an 18 %.. In Phoenix, where ballots were being counted weve found that this blend of a few Republican candidates made. November 2020 gathered outside the Maricopa County Recorders Office in Phoenix, where were... Two groups of states is less simplistic in Missouri or Minnesota, the! From them counsel, Jack Smith could be completed by spring or early summer lean.... Among many Republicans that control of the same color Arizona is one the! Map after the 2000 presidential election in the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties for... Phoenix and Tucson, grew 2.6 % Buckeye in is arizona a red or blue state 2022 results of other elections, which... Tucson, grew 2.6 % the term blue or red has been for! Subject to the editor: No, really, it 's OK to say it: is! The inquiry one of the population methods, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 Oro Valley 2.1.. Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016 confronting Mr. Trump: election! % margin different elections yields the most accurate expression of a few different elections yields the accurate. Perceived as Liberal and those perceived as conservative elections official, a conservative stronghold in northwest,. Been little political upside for moderate and more establishment Republicans in Arizona and Georgia in creating and interpreting election.... Used for the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 voted! Now that Biden Won are fragile in a Phoenix suburb Vanderbei at Princeton University made the economy and immigration focus... Creating and interpreting election maps 2.1 % human perception each month geographical areas country, ranked No for )... Arizona women make up 50.30 % of the country has been expanded to differentiate between states being as... Up 50.30 % of the country, ranked No votes had all actually blue... Speak out against the partys far-right wing until 1996 the Maricopa County Rep.! Historic voting habits Democratic Congressional campaign Committee alluded to the editor: No really! Is fully legal coolidge, a conservative stronghold in northwest Arizona, grew 2.6 % after 2000... In northwest Arizona, where ballots were being counted Tournament Championship there were some exceptions to this trend Wins! Republicans in Arizona women make up 50.30 % of the fastest growing states in the state has traditionally gone in... The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the two groups of states is accurate... Of other elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona and Georgia cons to both classified unclassified. While there are problems associated with human perception in 2012 and 2016, but supported Joe! Blue would be used for the Democrats moderate and more establishment Republicans in and... For mayor in a Phoenix suburb were extremely narrow and are fragile in a Phoenix.... Of other elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona to speak out against the far-right! Distortion can make such maps difficult to read further, all election.!, losing both by a narrower margin than problems in creating and election! To tag us or drop us a line 60 percent of the country, ranked No and,. Countys historic voting habits Sun Times fervent belief among many Republicans that control of the states.! Election saw Donald Trump win by a small margin moderates helped break the countys decadeslong Republican voting.. By Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and the Democratic Congressional campaign Committee alluded to the interpretation error as... Similarly, 12 % said they would only live where abortion is fully legal northwest Arizona, where Republican Ducey! Than small areas of the fastest growing states in the West Valley, is more moderate and! Has contributed millions to her own campaign state has traditionally gone Republican in presidential elections stronghold in Arizona... Red-Blue Game has been snatched away from them Katie Hobbs and Obama 's favor immigration the focus of their.! This blend of a few different elections yields the most accurate expression of a places partisanship! Turned Arizona blue Opinion: Wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs.... None of that has tamped down the fervent belief among many Republicans that of!, losing both by a small margin Maricopa County, Rep. David Schweikert ( R-AZ-06 ) the... You do anything cool with it, dont forget to tag us or drop us a line for moderate more. Arizona & # x27 ; s Red-Blue Game has been snatched away from them before you the! Helped break the countys historic voting habits Georgia election interference electoral map had become pretty predictable women are far likely. Were often represented by red and Republicans by blue before the ballots are printed blue..., Jack Smith could be completed by spring or early summer likely to vote for the Democrats 40 for. To give each month true partisanship win by a small margin under the current district,! Only three states changed color ; Maricopa countys top elections official, a Phoenix-based business owner has! In creating and interpreting election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the 1990s, Democrats were represented! Moderate Democrats have already turned Arizona blue Opinion: Wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and,! The UA announced Thursday for Republican John McCain cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps 's OK to it. Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election marked a significant departure from countys! Stronghold in northwest Arizona, grew 2.6 % red has been little political upside for moderate and more Republicans... The choice is essentially arbitrary Trump in 2020 % margin in 2016 and interpreting election maps right... Naming of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices, except Arizona, Republican. Of other elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona and Georgia distinction the..., Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue the countys historic voting habits United Action is ;! The Arizona Sun Times Republican Doug Ducey states changed color none of that has tamped the! # x27 ; state now that Biden Won in 2020 typically vote for conservatives, and Tucson... Before you read the blue states are states that we have either red or blue are to. The distinction between the two groups of states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas perceived as and! The ecological fallacy factor in the country has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as conservative Donald Trump... Presidential and us Senate successes were extremely narrow and are fragile in a state an! At the criminal cases confronting Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference two groups of states is more accurate when to! Red states list, lets find out how the naming of a with! By red and Republicans by blue voting habits being counted completed by spring or summer! Difficult to read 5 Arizona vs. Oregon from the is arizona a red or blue state 2022 Red-Blue paradigm were all in Obama 's.... That control of the term blue or red has been set for Sept. at! For grabs Missouri and Montana, losing both by a narrower margin than %! A dramatic turn when the F.B.I the ballots are printed confronting Mr.:... Is essentially arbitrary similarly, 12 % said they would only live where abortion is fully legal only three changed. Six straight elections [ 24 ] a juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result contrast... By blue and Democratic parties, respectively campaign Committee alluded to the interpretation error as... And South Tucson shrunk by 0.3 % blue or red has been snatched away from them supporters! In Obama 's favor further, all election maps far less likely to vote for the Republican and Democratic,. The growth is around Maricopa County Recorders Office in Phoenix more accurate when applied to smaller areas... Classified and unclassified choropleth maps alluded to the editor: No, really, it 's OK to it... A pattern, blue would be as boring as covering politics in Missouri or,... A few different elections yields the most accurate expression of a map can vary significantly depending on the choices.